Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 1.876855 1.979019 2.085027 2.203486 2.332464 2.468974 2.624814
2026-01-25 1.702127 1.847845 2.005976 2.191342 2.403993 2.641919 2.930536
2026-02-01 1.555810 1.726394 1.917937 2.151056 2.430029 2.756997 3.175087
2026-02-08 1.424613 1.607174 1.817580 2.081270 2.407673 2.805118 3.336571
2026-02-15 1.334942 1.527418 1.754288 2.046008 2.418191 2.887507 3.542072
2026-02-22 1.272898 1.474959 1.718001 2.037968 2.457890 3.005383 3.801218
2026-03-01 1.211037 1.417959 1.671064 2.010947 2.467911 3.081298 4.006483
2026-03-08 1.134836 1.338575 1.590786 1.934337 2.404448 3.049250 4.049417
2026-03-15 1.094894 1.302615 1.563385 1.924646 2.429541 3.140468 4.282143
2026-03-22 1.085677 1.304980 1.584965 1.980895 2.548844 3.375371 4.763386
2026-03-29 1.057066 1.280431 1.569253 1.984142 2.591433 3.498537 5.078071
2026-04-05 1.035039 1.263320 1.562243 1.998440 2.650123 3.650003 5.458867
2026-04-12 1.014861 1.249779 1.561990 2.026182 2.737044 3.864307 6.004443
2026-04-19 0.980756 1.216239 1.532879 2.010717 2.757216 3.973532 6.378837
2026-04-26 0.941887 1.174648 1.490613 1.973282 2.739887 4.017777 6.635144
2026-05-03 0.897971 1.124452 1.434013 1.911122 2.678160 3.978669 6.714295
2026-05-10 0.866495 1.090389 1.398968 1.879745 2.664303 4.022887 6.978724
2026-05-17 0.844368 1.068528 1.380434 1.872509 2.689595 4.140249 7.427861
2026-05-24 0.818889 1.040972 1.352373 1.848663 2.684589 4.199792 7.755022
2026-05-31 0.782511 0.996790 1.298312 1.781120 2.599752 4.098123 7.672569
2026-06-07 0.764558 0.978421 1.281739 1.772555 2.617315 4.198180 8.116886
2026-06-14 0.763298 0.983927 1.300770 1.822148 2.741461 4.525706 9.245963
2026-06-21 0.749855 0.971207 1.291706 1.825006 2.780730 4.682488 9.950869